#1 13-03-2024 08:12:48

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Bryce Young vs. C.J. Stroud Tale of the tape for top two QBs in 2023 N

In August 2022, I wrote a , comparing the two highly coveted quarterback prospects, before their final collegiate seasons.It's time to circle back and run a similar evaluation Paul George Jersey  on the first two selections in the 2023 .In my scouting grade book, these are the top three categories (by importance and weight) at the quarterback position: Accuracy, athleticism and arm strength. Let's use those categories while layering in key performance metrics to expand on how each has played to date early in their respective careers.Believe it or not, by the numbers, Young has been more accurate than Stroud entering Week 8. Young's adjusted completion percentage of 75.5% is 17th-best among qualifiers, and Stroud's 72.0% is 28th. While decently telling, that adjusted completion rate always needs additional context.  Young's average depth of target (aDOT) is 7.0 yards, and a mere 4.9% of his attempts have been 20 or more yards downfield. Stroud's aDOT is currently 8.6 yards, tied for the 10th-highest in football, and 7.5% of his throws have been "deep" targets.In watching all of Young and Stroud's NFL dropbacks to date, observationally, I cannot confidently say Young's ball placement on all throws, in all situations, has been better the Stroud's. No way. Although the traditional statistics from Stroud right now have given a bit of a false sense of how good he's been individually.Advantage: Push             CAR  QB  #9  CMP%63.2YDs967TD6INT4YD/Att5.31 Based on what they demonstrated in college, this was an easy "Advantage: Young" before their final seasons -- and would've been afterward, too.  But -- and this is vital -- Young's athletic gifts appeared to be at their functional limit in the ultra-competitive SEC. What I mean by that is, Young didn't have enough explosivene s and twitch for his mobility, and the creative plays that spawned from it, to be a real weapon once he reached the NFL. And that has been the case early in his debut profe sional season. Young's pre sure-to-sack rate of 19.8% is the 10th-highest among qualifiers. It's been extremely rare to notice when Young has been able to avoid rushers inside or  Nerlens Noel Jersey outside the pocket in his first six games with the . He's simply not a tremendous athlete, which quarterbacks e sentially need to be in today's NFL to establish themselves as ad-libbing masters.As for Stroud, who appeared more stiff than Young in college, it's almost as if he's more aware of his athletic deficiencies so he doesn't try to extend plays nearly as often as his contemporary. Beyond that, as a more pure pocket pa ser, Stroud leans on his ability to throw strikes within the confines of the pocket and intended structure of the play more often. His pre sure-to-sack rate is currently lower than Young's at 16.3%.Young is probably more athletic naturally, but when it comes to functional athleticism playing quarterback in the NFL, there doesn't appear to be a difference.  Advantage: Push             HOU  QB  #7  CMP%59.6YDs1660TD9INT1YD/Att7.79 Finally, a category with a clear winner. This was the case in college and, unsurprisingly, hasn't changed in the first half of the 2023 NFL season for these two. Stroud has a stronger arm than Young. It's not significantly stronger. But he has a much easier time stretching the field vertically or making those cla sic NFL throws from the far hash to toward the sideline. Young isn't drastically held back by his average-at-best arm. When he's running from pre sure, it certainly doesn't help.Advantage: StroudNo quarterback statistic has stronger predictive powers than clean-pocket play. A quarterback who routinely wins from the pocket, without pre sure around him, typically continues that winning into the future. While Young's been more accurate in these scenarios -- and some of  Chris Paul Jersey that has been because of what was mentioned above -- Stroud has been the more confident, needle-moving thrower in when kept clean. But his lead here isn't seismic.When not pre sured, Stroud has a Big-Time Throw rate of 3.8% to a tiny 1.2% Turnover-Worthy Play rate. His yards-per-attempt average is a hefty 9.0, and he has nine touchdowns to one interception. Whether it's been seam strikes to or , or deep overs to or Tank Dell, when protected well, Stroud has done a respectable job generating chunk plays for the offense.  Young, on the other hand, has taken a more conservative route. He's been accurate on over 80% of throws in these scenarios, but his aDOT is a miniscule 5.9 yards with a TWP rate (3.0%) higher than his BTT rate (2.3%). I do believe Stroud's offensive scheme and skill-position talent have provided him with noticeably more open  James Johnson Jersey looks than Young, which absolutely needs to be considered here.Advantage:StroudWhile not incredibly predictive year over year, in a given season, strong under-pre sure play is undeniably valuable to an offense. In almost every case, rookie quarterbacks battle through major growing pains in this area. And, frankly, Stroud and Young, at their best, have been as expected when dealing with and combatting pre sure.Stroud's yards-per-attempt average of 4.8 ranks 28th in the NFL. Young's is second-to-last. Stroud doesn't have a BTT under pre sure yet but has four TWPs. Young's figures on those categories are two BTTs to three TWPs. While watching their dropbacks, it's been obvious Young has attempted to generate off-structure plays more frequently than Stroud but has largely been ineffective in doing so. Stroud hasn't simply crumbled into a ball when there's been a leak in his offensive line or he's held the ball well beyond 2.5 seconds, yet he hasn't been anywhere close to magical under dure s either.  Advantage: PushThe cla sic box score stats would scream that Stroud has  Jalen Lecque Jersey been on another planet than Young, and while I'll conclude the Texans quarterback has been comfortably better, those cla sic statistics are slightly misleading as to just Stroud has been to date. Vibe-wise, he has mostly operated the offense like a seasoned veteran.Young and his rebuilding Panthers have showed very few signs of life entering Week 8. It's a real challenge to point to one area in which the No. 1 overall pick has thrived. He's very much looked like a mostly overwhelmed rookie.But, if we're looking at trends, Young started disastrously and had his finest game of the season in the lo s to the before the Week 7 bye. Stroud steadily improved to a relatively high level after a bad NFL debut in Baltimore against a stingy defense yet had his worst effort of the season in Week 6's win over the before Houston's bye.  We'll continue to be tracking the first two picks in the 2023 as they venture through the second half of their profe sional seasons.

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